From the end of your NYT piece: "America’s adversaries have long found it hard to persuade America’s allies to defect from America’s economic networks. Mr. Trump’s second term has changed their calculus — now even European allies are quietly talking about moving closer to China. It’s increasingly hard to see the benefits they get from their ties to America, and increasingly easy to see the costs."
I asked a former Trump administration official this question the other day and they thought it would be impossible for someone to defect from the US coalition. I think that blind spot is a big problem. I think their logic is that the US debt is such a big issue that we would lose our power one way or the other so we have to radically break from past expectations? Either way, I think this a key question that Republicans should probably be sorting out right now.
Both US and China expect to control AGI, if it ever appears (Sam Altman's goalpost moving of the definition notwithstanding.) So many shaky premises in that bundle. Meanwhile, coastal cities continue to sink and more pandemics loom. 3rd Century Rome would like a word.
I don't think Eric Schmidt is as influential in US AI export policy. I think Jason Matheny, and by extension Nick Bostrom, is. I kind of think RAND is more important than Google here and by extension, FHI/OpenPhil/CSET are more important.
Which banks are allowing crypto investors to deposit large sums of currencies after “cashing out” their crypto on crypto exchanges? Anyone know? My understanding is western banks are not due risk and lack of proof it is valid investment returns.
When has any technology that could provide an existential threat to an enemy ever been kept from the enemy? Most notably both the atom and hydrogen bomb technologies were acquired by the USSR. Homegrown sympathizers and antagonists to unipolar governments have undermined the attempts to keep technology secret. In the case of chip technology, the premier toolkit is made by the Dutch company ASML, and the manufacture of the high-end chips, especially the GPUs for NVIDIA are made by TSMC in Taiwan. Pissing off Europe and leaving Taiwan vulnerable to takeover by China could quickly reverse the situation in favor of China, especially if chip design and AI expertise were acquired as well.
And let's not forget that the transactional POTUS may have wanted to enrich himself by his illegal acquisition of many classified documents. Is POTUS also a potential sellout to China or Russia?
From the end of your NYT piece: "America’s adversaries have long found it hard to persuade America’s allies to defect from America’s economic networks. Mr. Trump’s second term has changed their calculus — now even European allies are quietly talking about moving closer to China. It’s increasingly hard to see the benefits they get from their ties to America, and increasingly easy to see the costs."
I asked a former Trump administration official this question the other day and they thought it would be impossible for someone to defect from the US coalition. I think that blind spot is a big problem. I think their logic is that the US debt is such a big issue that we would lose our power one way or the other so we have to radically break from past expectations? Either way, I think this a key question that Republicans should probably be sorting out right now.
This is a key question the Republicans are avoiding as hard as they can.
Both US and China expect to control AGI, if it ever appears (Sam Altman's goalpost moving of the definition notwithstanding.) So many shaky premises in that bundle. Meanwhile, coastal cities continue to sink and more pandemics loom. 3rd Century Rome would like a word.
I don't think Eric Schmidt is as influential in US AI export policy. I think Jason Matheny, and by extension Nick Bostrom, is. I kind of think RAND is more important than Google here and by extension, FHI/OpenPhil/CSET are more important.
Which banks are allowing crypto investors to deposit large sums of currencies after “cashing out” their crypto on crypto exchanges? Anyone know? My understanding is western banks are not due risk and lack of proof it is valid investment returns.
When has any technology that could provide an existential threat to an enemy ever been kept from the enemy? Most notably both the atom and hydrogen bomb technologies were acquired by the USSR. Homegrown sympathizers and antagonists to unipolar governments have undermined the attempts to keep technology secret. In the case of chip technology, the premier toolkit is made by the Dutch company ASML, and the manufacture of the high-end chips, especially the GPUs for NVIDIA are made by TSMC in Taiwan. Pissing off Europe and leaving Taiwan vulnerable to takeover by China could quickly reverse the situation in favor of China, especially if chip design and AI expertise were acquired as well.
And let's not forget that the transactional POTUS may have wanted to enrich himself by his illegal acquisition of many classified documents. Is POTUS also a potential sellout to China or Russia?